Wednesday, October 7, 2009

Nobel Prize

The Nobel Prize in economics will be announced on Monday. Our annual lottery (which tends to be more accurate than all other pools and lotteries in the profession) is underway. Here are the latest odds.
Economist Payoff
to a
Dollar
Bet




Diamond 5.5 to 1
Mortensen 7.6666667 to 1
Pissarides 7.6666667 to 1
Shiller 12 to 1
Sims 12 to 2
Nordaus 18.5 to 1
Fehr 25 to 1
Hansen 25 to 1
Dreze 38 to 1
Hausman 38 to 1
Hendry 38 to 1
The Field 38 to 1
White 38 to 1
Williamson 38 to 1
Arthur 77 to 1
Barro 77 to 1
Broom, John 77 to 1
Feldstein 77 to 1
Hart 77 to 1
Holmstrom 77 to 1
Jorgensen 77 to 1
Kornai 77 to 1
Krueger 77 to 1
Nelson 77 to 1
Sachs 77 to 1
Sargent 77 to 1
Wilson 77 to 1
Winter 77 to 1

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